Followers of Newcastle United are more and more regarding Eddie Howe's outfit as a fickle friend. At their brilliant best, they can be the very thrill-seekers, delivering breathtaking displays. Yet, in other matches, key players like Sandro Tonali and his teammates completely do not show up.
Exacerbating this issue is a second-half approach suffused by a worrying element of disorganization. Ahead of their holiday fixture to Manchester United, the numbers tell a sobering picture: they have let slip thirteen precious top-flight leverage from leading situations this season and are without a clean sheet in 10 straight games in every tournament. Earning a win at their famous stadium would represent only their second-ever domestic success on the travel this year.
On the flip side, a loss has only come on one occasion in their previous six league fixtures, and despite sitting in a modest 11th position, they remain a mere 6 points off the highly-prized Champions League places. Consider an looming two-part League Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a decent prospect of advancing to the Champions League knockout phase, and it becomes simpler to appreciate the gaffer's cautious positivity.
“We don't just have difficulties,” stated the club's manager. “We have strengths too. My glass is firmly half full currently. I realize outside observers may hold a different opinion, but in my view we're making progress.”
The challenge is: will this squad recapture – or even eclipse – the successes of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and fifth-place finish? Managing a hectic fixture list hinders.
This tiredness may be the reason behind the failure to sustain a brilliant opening 45-minute showing against Chelsea, ultimately letting slip a 2-0 advantage to draw the game. Likewise, it could be the culprit for a lackluster performance in a damaging loss to local rivals Sunderland, where the side looked lethargic just days after a grueling European excursion.
Although on-field instruction is undoubtedly Howe's specialty, the relentless schedule of two games a week football has radically reduced essential practice hours. This slows the team's stylistic adaptation to operating with summer signing Nick Woltemade leading the line, instead of the now departed Alexander Isak. Although immensely talented, Woltemade does not possess the equivalent electric counter-attacking pace or intense defensive work rate.
Indeed, the team's once-formidable high press has sporadically broken down. Injuries to key cog Joelinton have been a factor, while high-profile arrivals Anthony Elanga and Jacob Ramsey have had difficulties adapting since their big-money moves.
While a switch to a back three could arguably help the cause, a worsening defensive injury list renders that problematic. Key defenders will be missing for the next key fixtures, further testing the squad's resilience.
When playing at their high-tempo best, they seem almost unstoppable. The issue is maintaining that level for the entire 90 minutes. The go-to alternative approach of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive shape has sometimes proven counterproductive.
“That match became disorganized at 2-2,” conceded the manager. “But the intention was trying to win. We always go out to secure the three points.”
What seems called for is a balanced approach – one featuring better possession control, a midfield capable of slowing the pace, and a sensible readiness to occasionally settle for a point. Yet, a desire to challenge on all competitions is testing limited squad numbers to their limit.
This might seem sacrilegious to some, but a different approach in the domestic cups earlier could have alleviated the present fixture congestion. Amid critical European and Premier League games on the agenda, the imperative to strategically prioritize is becoming ever more obvious.
The manager recognized the magnitude of the journey remaining. “When you're at this club, the expectations are big. Every moment's critical. There is progress to be made in the league. We're in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we aim to progress in the Europe and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the correct path, but we have plenty of work to do to transform into the consistently successful team we envision. The ability to string together sequences of victories has deserted us so far.
“The challenge is to attain those levels we know we're capable of. I believe that the assurance we can achieve it is coming back. Yet nowadays we have to show it. It's not all bad currently, but the next few weeks will shape a great deal.”
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